Les déjeuners de l'économie politique
Heure: 9h
Lieu: DES-2237
Description de l'événement
Conférencier(e) :
Invité par :
Arthur Silve et Érick Duchesne ont le plaisir de vous inviter à la prochaine séance des "déjeuners de l'économie politique", le mercredi 19 décembre, à 9am, au local DES-2237.
Le papier proposé est : Guns, Environment, and Abortion: How Single-Minded Voters Shape Politicians' Decisions, par Laurent Bouton, Paola Conconi, Francisco Pino, et Maurizio Zanardi.
Notez que Laurent Bouton offrira l'une des keynotes du prochain congrès de la SCSE : c'est une bonne occasion de se familiariser avec son travail.
Comme d'habitude, le CEPCI et le Département d'économique vous offrent café et croissants.
Ci-dessous le résumé du papier.
Abstract: We study how electoral incentives affect policy choices on secondary issues, which only minorities of voters care intensely about. We develop a model in which office and policy motivated politicians choose to support or oppose regulations on these issues. We derive conditions under which politicians flip-flop, voting according to their policy preferences at the beginning of their terms, but in line with the preferences of single-issue minorities as they approach re-election. To assess the evidence, we study U.S. senators’ votes on gun control, environment, and reproductive rights. In line with our model’s predictions, election proximity has a pro-gun effect on Democratic senators and a pro-environment effect on Republican senators. These effects only arise for non-retiring senators, who represent states where the single-issue minority is of intermediate size. Also in line with our theory, election proximity has no impact on senators’ decisions on reproductive rights, because of the presence of single-issue minorities on both sides.
Bonne lecture !